Dollar Wise Decisions

Sunday, September 24, 2006

The Dollar Wise Index

Tonight we'll create our own index and pit it against the S&P 500.
The Dollar Wise Index (DWI) vs Spiders
DWI ...what an acronym! ...so be it ...
The DWI is comprised of 10 stocks which have all had terrific 10 year records. These companies have boosted sales every year for 1o years straight. Additionally, we're looking for value so I looked for stocks selling below their fair value (fair value as determined by MorningStar) , we also looked for below average risk and a stark lack of competition (wide moat in morningstar lingo)
To summarize;

  1. Revenue increases for 10 years straight
  2. Earnings per share increases 10 years straight
  3. non-distressed companies
  4. current price below Fair Value price
  5. Below Average Risk
  6. Wide Moat
CompanySymbolCurrent
Price
Fair
Value
% below
Fair Value
Anheuser-BuschBUD47.1557.0017.3 A/19.5
BiometBMET32.2239.0017.4 B/19.8
FastenalFAST38.0753.0028.2 A/31.2
Home DepotHD35.9644.0018.3 D/12.3
Johnson&JohnsonJNJ63.9676.0015.8 B/17.2
MedtronicMDT46.6064.0027.2 A/19.9
MicrosoftMSFT26.6634.0021.6 A/22.2
Wal-MartWMT48.2958.0016.7 A/17.6
WashingtonPostWPO710.65100028.9 B/20.8
Wrigley WWY44.8459.0024.0 C/26.4
The last column shows how far below (in terms of percentages) the current price is relative to the Fair Value price. I've also added some additional information. The Letters (A, B, C or D) is the stewardship (how well the company is managed) grade assigned to each company by morningstar and the number after the grade is the companies P/E ratio. Call me old school but I still prefer to see a low P/E ratio.

This is going to be a very easy index to track (at least that's what I tell myself now!) I've entered these stocks into MorningStars portfolio manager and designated enough shares of each to equal a $100 for each company, thereby giving me a total price (or starting index) of 1000. Additionally, I've entered in 7.6063 shares of Spiders (SPY) which, at $131.47/share comes out to a value (or starting index) of 1000 also.

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